ZWMB Capital Market Report (5-Jul-25)

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For Entrepreneurs, SMEs & Cooperatives
Friday, 5 July 2025
Vol. 1 | Issue 1


๐Ÿงญ 1. Capital & Market Conditions: Snapshot of the Week

Indicator Level Weekly Movement Impact on SMEs
RBZ Policy Rate 35% โž– No change Cost of formal borrowing remains high. Explore structured alternatives.
Average Commercial Lending Rate 46.51% โฌ†๏ธ +0.30pp Loans costlier. Shorter terms and cooperative guarantees now more attractive.
Parallel Market (USD/ZWL) 1 USD = ZWL 18,750 โฌ†๏ธ 1.3% Costs rising for importers. Localise inputs where possible.
Inflation Rate (June YoY) 47.5% โฌ‡๏ธ down 0.4% Moderation offers relief—but input costs still unstable.
ZiG Share of Transactions 43% โฌ†๏ธ 3% Consider dual pricing models; hedge through USD revenue.
Mobile Money Use ↑ 5% WoW More digital activity = better financial visibility = future funding eligibility.

๐ŸŒพ 2. Key Commodities & Input Prices (Sector-Wide Watch)

Commodity / Input Price/Change Comment & Entrepreneur Action
Maize Grain (bucket) USD 9–12 (+15–20% WoW) Scarcity driving prices. Traders: store & stagger release. Processors: hedge prices.
Maize Seed (10kg) USD 37–50 (+10%) Group bulk buys via co-ops advised.
Compound D Fertiliser USD 30–36 per 50kg (+5%) Cost-up for farmers. Push for ZWMB Agri Credit Access.
Diesel (litre) USD 1.73 (+2.5%) Affects logistics, machinery. Optimize trips; consider joining fuel syndicates.
Electricity Tariffs Review expected mid-July High risk for processors (leather, milling, cement). Solar transitions urged.
Livestock (cattle) ↓ 20–25% from May Distress sales = buy opportunity for meat businesses, but long-term risk for producers.
Gold (Artisan/gram) USD 58–60 (stable) Stable prices support small-scale miner liquidity.
Leather Inputs Stable Good time to expand; energy cost remains risk.
Cement (50kg bag) USD 10.50–12.00 (spotty) Power-related supply shocks. Builders should pre-order.

๐Ÿ” 3. What It All Means – Weekly Market Themes

๐Ÿ”ธ Credit Markets Tighten

  • Lending costs continue upward, especially for uncollateralized SMEs.

  • Strategy: Tap into cooperative guarantees, community revolving funds, or ZWMB partner windows for structured capital access.

๐Ÿ”ธ Input Inflation Rising

  • Across agriculture and processing, costs rose ~5–20% this week.

  • Action: Pre-buy or co-purchase inputs via producer groups. Explore storage credit to delay processing until price stabilizes.

๐Ÿ”ธ Energy Cost Volatility

  • Diesel and electricity trends threaten processors (especially leather, grain milling, and cement operations).

  • Action: Explore solar leasing models or co-op power backup pooling.


๐Ÿ”ญ 4. Entrepreneur Outlook & Strategic Positioning

Sector Short-Term Forecast Entrepreneurial Play
Agriculture Input cost risk persists. Output price volatile. Enter storage/trading. Push value-addition (milling, oil pressing).
Mining (Artisan) Stable prices. Access limited by capex. Offer mining support services (drilling, haulage, refining).
Leather Processing Stable prices but high energy exposure. Expand with energy efficiency investments. Diversify markets (e.g., school shoes).
Retail / Trading High inflation limits spending power. Stock fast-moving essentials, use mobile payments, and dual pricing.

๐Ÿค 5. Empowerment & Special Focus – Supporting Disadvantaged Groups

  • All Women Capital Partners Novice Level (USD 5/mo) now includes agricultural input finance via ZWMB.

  • Better Sisters Foundation launching capital access mentorship circles in Mutoko and Gwanda.

  • Youth in Mining pilot approved: Small-scale gold miner groups eligible for structured equipment leasing.

๐Ÿ“Œ Women & Youth Tip: Join or start a cooperative with a formal name and structure to fast-track ZWMB loan eligibility and access support schemes.


๐Ÿ“… 6. Key Events Next Week (8–12 July 2025)

Date Event Impact
8 July Deadline for Grain Marketing Board Delivery Price Petition May influence July producer floor pricing.
9 July ZWMB Capital Partners Virtual Onboarding Join via coops.africa/events. Free for ZWMB members.
10 July Women’s Agri-Finance Window Opens Special allocation for input-based loans (maize, poultry, horticulture).
12 July Rural Electrification Agency Grant Workshop For co-ops interested in off-grid/mini-grid investments.

โœ… 7. Weekly Checklist – What You Should Do Now

โ˜‘ Join/form a cooperative or SACCO for cheaper financing 
โ˜‘ Digitize your payments to build financial traceability via 
โ˜‘ Pre-order input supplies or lock in diesel prices
โ˜‘ Explore solar solutions or mini-grids if you're a processor
โ˜‘ Apply for ZWMB Women or Youth Productive Finance Schemes
โ˜‘ Use mobile money dashboards to manage cashflow and savings


๐Ÿ’ฌ From the Desk of Structured Finance 

“Entrepreneurs are not just adapting to markets—they are the market. Each decision you make shapes Zimbabwe’s future economy. Stay informed, stay structured, stay cooperative.”

 

๐ŸŒŸ MSME Excellence Case Study: From Backyard Hustle to Contract-Winning Enterprise

Case: Tafadzwa Makumbe – Founder, Makumbe Tech Services (MTS), Harare

Three years ago, Tafadzwa Makumbe operated a modest electrical repairs business from his backyard, surviving on ad-hoc jobs and word-of-mouth referrals. Like many MSMEs, Makumbe Tech Services was unregistered, had no formal bookkeeping, and operated entirely in cash. That changed when Tafadzwa joined a ZWMB SME Clinic and was introduced to the importance of formalizing his enterprise.

He took deliberate steps: registered his company with the Zimbabwe Companies Registry, opened a business bank account, got a tax clearance certificate, and began using mobile money and simple accounting software to track income and expenses. With support from ZWMB’s Structured Finance team, he accessed a small loan to purchase tools and secure a Public Works Authority certificate. Within 18 months, Makumbe Tech won a subcontract under a Ministry of Primary and Secondary Education tender to install school lighting systems. Today, MTS employs six full-time technicians and has serviced contracts in three provinces.

Takeaway: Formal compliance isn’t a burden—it’s a bridge. It opens MSMEs to public sector opportunities, corporate subcontracting, and structured finance. Tafadzwa’s story reminds us: when you treat your hustle like a real business, the world begins to treat it the same way.

 

๐Ÿงพ From the CEO’s Desk: Building Wealth Through Local Trade and Circular Thinking

In times of economic turbulence, our greatest strength as Zimbabwean entrepreneurs lies not in what we import, but in what we already have—and how well we circulate it. Every dollar spent on imported goods is a dollar exported along with the jobs, skills, and value it could have created locally. The principle is simple: when we buy local, we don’t just support a business—we activate a chain reaction that feeds producers, processors, transporters, retailers, and communities. This is the essence of a circular economy: wealth generated here, stays here, and moves through multiple hands before leaving. It multiplies.

For SMEs and cooperatives, especially in agriculture, mining, and processing, the opportunity lies in closing loops—turning maize into mealie-meal, hides into leather shoes, and offcuts into compost. Every link added to your value chain is another job created and another stream of income. Circular thinking is not just sustainable—it’s profitable. At ZWMB, we are committed to financing enterprises that reinforce this ecosystem. Together, let’s stop chasing value outward and start building prosperity inward—locally, collectively, and cooperatively.

 

๐Ÿ„ CEO's Big Idea Challenge – Sponsored by Invent One

In Zimbabwe, owning a cow has always been a symbol of wealth, wisdom, and honour. That’s why, every week, Invent One is giving away one live cow to the entrepreneur with the smartest idea in our Big Idea Challenge!

This week’s question:
With fuel and electricity costs going up, how can your business reduce production or operating expenses without sacrificing quality?

Think about local sourcing, shared resources, solar energy, or any smart solution that works in your trade.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Share your answer in the comments or email entrepreneurs@zwmb.co.zw by Wednesday, 10 July 2025. The winner walks away with a cow—because in our economy, that’s true success!

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